Latest posts  
  10:59:40 AM

Are we ready for the “grey tsunami”?

As we’ve often mentioned on this blog, much of the world is facing an ageing population (a "grey/gray tsunami" as some commentators have named it).  Many countries face the near future involving a greater percentage of their population in the age bracket 65+ years old. This greater elderly cohort has all sorts of implications for our societies and economies. This tsunami is rushing nearing and more and more are starting to ask: what will happen when it hits?

The Lancet published last month a journal article about the “crisis” in “global elderly care”. This article draws attention to the potential problem, but is light on details about how to deal with the fallout of an ageing population.  But at least recognition of the problem is the necessary first step towards dealing with it and the… click here to read whole article and make comments

  5:02:06 PM

Iran leads Muslim countries in fertility decline

Happy Easter!  I hope you are celebrating this joyful day with friends and family.  This hopeful Easter article was in our local NZ Herald.  However, today I bring you a story from a predominantly Muslim country, Iran.  You might be surprised to know that in recent years the country has experienced one of the most steeply falling fertility rates in the world.  The average number of births per woman back in the early 1980s in Iran was 6.08.  That dropped to just 1.8 births per woman in 2007.  So ‘successful’ was the Family Planning Program introduced in 1966, that the government is now worried that population growth could reach zero within twenty years’ time and that one working age person will soon be required to support seven retired persons.  Needless to say, they are attempting to do a quick about turn!

Iran leads Muslim countries… click here to read whole article and make comments

  12:35:17 PM

Russia: Growing and More Assertive


A little while ago I posted a blog entry about the demographic problems for Ukraine and its similarities with Russia in that respect. That was before the crisis of the Crimean standoff. Now, of course, the Russian absorption of the Crimean peninsula is a fait accompli and we are watching round two in Eastern Ukraine.

Some, myself included, have wondered how much of Russia’s aggression has been that of a declining power trying to recapture some past glory and to hide its current failings. Well, that may be the case, but at least for the moment one aspect of Russia’s outlook is somewhat brighter: its demographic outlook.   

According to Mark Adomanis, writing in Forbes, Russia’s demography is continuing to improve from its disastrous outlook of a few years ago. According to Adomanis, Putin’s reign in Russia has… click here to read whole article and make comments

  12:20:25 PM

Japan’s Shrinking Role in the World

The Economist has provided another very interesting piece about a story that I think gets less coverage than it should be receiving: the slow, steady, inevitable (?) implosion of Japanese society. I don’t think that saying that is being melodramatic, what else does one call a society which has a population that has been shrinking for the past decade (in a time of historically-unheard peace and prosperity!) and shows no sign of stopping that decline? Does this population decline not show a lack of confidence in the society’s future prospects and a lack of interest or desire in propagating that society? Shouldn’t this news story be more closely followed elsewhere since: a) Japan is the third-largest economy in the world; b) Japan is in a very worrying diplomatic conflict with the world’s second-largest economy; and c) Japan is the canary in the mine… click here to read whole article and make comments

  2:42:36 PM

Why you shouldn’t take alarmist population predictions seriously

Source: UN Data

Caring about the environment, caring about people and encouraging new life can and should go hand in hand.  Sadly, that is not always the way passionate environmentalists view things.  However, Marion Swain of the Breakthrough Institute argues in her recent article that we need not be alarmist about population growth even if we are also concerned for the environment.  She is a Conservation and Development Policy Analyst at a think tank whose mission is to ‘accelerate the transition to a future where all the world's inhabitants can enjoy secure, free, and prosperous lives on an ecologically vibrant planet’.  In her article she presents four surprising facts about population which mean that human beings are not fated to ecological disaster.


1. The global population is likely to peak and decline in the 21st century

click here to read whole article and make comments

  5:58:36 AM

Is Single Occupancy Vandalising the Environment?

When you think of someone living alone what springs to mind?  An elderly spinster perhaps, or a young professional?  The truth is that the typical solitary dweller is middle-aged.  In America, for instance, the majority are between the ages of 35 and 64; some 16 million people.  

These singletons represent one of the greatest sociological shifts of our age. Last week a massive survey by Euromonitor International found that the number of us living alone, globally, is rising with unprecedented gusto. Over the last 15 years the number has climbed an astonishing 80 per cent.

In the United States, 27 per cent of households have just one person living in them. In the UK, so often behind the American lifestyle curve, the number is actually higher; 34 per cent. And we… click here to read whole article and make comments

  7:19:11 AM

Worldwide migration: a constant factor

In many countries, migration is a hot topic. For example, it perennially comes up in Australia as governments and approaches change. The debate about illegal immigrants in the USA is still to be settled (or indeed confronted?) While in the UK, there were plans to make an anti-tourist campaign in Romania and Bulgaria to keep migrants from those countries away.  And of course, in many countries, migration is the only thing keeping populations growing as natural growth is non-existent (see for example Western Europe). Now, there is information coming out from the Vienna Institute of Demography about the scale of migration worldwide.  It takes account of newly harmonised data provided by the UN (including refugees) that overcomes the previous lack of standardised data provided by individual countries. The methodology is explained by Nikola Sander who compiled the figures:

“We've… click here to read whole article and make comments

  10:16:01 AM

Something is going on in the state of Denmark

A Danish travel company has announced a new competition based around improving Denmark's falling fertility rates.  The need for more children is obviously playing on the corporate conscience.  Although the aim is not purely altruistic - the company also says that fewer Danes supporting the older population means fewer holidays.  

The company announced this week that: no one has found out how to help Denmark's falling birth rate. Until now. Spies Travels announces a competition where you have to make a baby to win

Apparently, part of the idea is that Danes are much more likely to conceive while on holiday.  The company also offers an "ovulation discount" to women who prove that they are travelling while fertile, with the chance to win more prizes to help with the baby should they actually… click here to read whole article and make comments

  6:58:09 PM

The dependent generation

Shockingly, almost half of Europe’s young adults still live with their parents, despite the fact that they are likely more highly educated than them.  This record level of dependency has both social and demographic implications. 

A comprehensive on-going social survey of 28 European countries reported this week that the percentage of people aged 18-30 who were still living with their parents had risen to 48% by 2011, reflecting the deprivation and unemployment that surged during the economic crisis.  Numbers have increased, not only among those still studying, but also in the 25 – 30 age bracket – an age most young people would hope to be earning and settled into a career. 

Data from EU agency Eurofound obtained by The Guardian shows that it is not only debt-laden countries seeing the shift either, with large rises of young people continuing to… click here to read whole article and make comments

  11:25:05 AM

After Crimea: is ethnicity the new World Order?

As we watch the unfolding of the Ukraine-Russia standoff, claims of ethnicity are being used as justifications for Russian action. According to Philip Browning, writing in the South China Morning Post, this opens up “a large can of worms with long-term global consequences”.  He argues that the Russian takeover of the Crimea has overturned two pillars of the post-World War Two world order: the permanence of state boundaries protected by the United Nations and “the inadmissibility of ethnicity as the primary identifier of states”. 

It is this second pillar that is of interest to us today.  With Russia claiming that it is acting as the defender of Russians, no matter which country they reside in, many countries in Russia’s “near-abroad” will be feeling slightly nervous.  Eastern and Southern Ukraine holds large Russian populations, as do the three small Baltic states (click here to read whole article and make comments


Page 1 of 53 :  1 2 3 >  Last ›

about this blog | Bookmark and Share

Search this blog

 Subscribe to Demography is Destiny
rss RSS feed of posts

 Recent Posts
Are we ready for the “grey tsunami”?
22 Apr 2014
Iran leads Muslim countries in fertility decline
20 Apr 2014
Russia: Growing and More Assertive
14 Apr 2014
Japan’s Shrinking Role in the World
8 Apr 2014
Why you shouldn’t take alarmist population predictions seriously
6 Apr 2014

 MercatorNet blogs
Style and culture: Tiger Print
Family social policy: Family Edge
US political scene: Sheila Liaugminas
News about bioethics: BioEdge
From the editors: Conniptions

Apr 2014 | Mar 2014 | Feb 2014 | Jan 2014 | more >>

 From MercatorNet's home page

In a world of family change, how are children faring?
19 Apr 2014
A new report provides a unique global picture of family factors affecting child well-being.

Could we choose to dialogue?
17 Apr 2014
"Anti-choice", "pro-abortion" -- let's stop the name calling and talk about principles.

Disparate bedfellows: same-sex marriage and human rights
17 Apr 2014
The claim that same-sex marriage is a basic human right finds no support in international human rights declarations.

Philippines population control law gets judicial green light
16 Apr 2014
A so-called reproductive health law is “not unconstitutional” says the Supreme Court. But the new contraceptive era could easily become…

Do you want CNN or ESPN with that burger?
15 Apr 2014
Why can't I talk with you in a restaurant? Why do I have to talk to the TV?

Fertility Rate, Population Centre, overpopulation myth, environment, death rate, population change, families, Nicholas Eberstadt, world hunger, population increase, genocide, careers, Old age, Phillipines, demographic dividend, volunteering, recession, American politics, climate change, Germany, International, pi, Ukraine, bride shortage, immigration reform, bankruptcy, Population reduction, One child policy, deaths, statistics, Australia, nursing homes, Hispanic, polio, malthus, Washington rally, Auckland, Italy, Romania, Birth Defects, global hunger, Malaysia, Baby Bonus, Family taxation, Canada, wages, Latin America, Recession, mortality rate, Muslim World, European Union, Canna, elections, demographic winter, motherhood, sexual abuse, birth rate, Detroit, government subsidies, career, culture, The Onion, Gore, aid, labour market, Birth, employment, Rwanda, Al Gore, youth bulge, Zimbabwe, population bomb, democracy, Orthodox Church, University College London, aging, gender imbalance, Cuba, Maternity Care, jobs and economy, Easter, Ethiopia, healthcare, food distribution, sterilisation, tourism, lifestyle, falling birth rates, depopulation, Work, census, The Economist, Chemical attraction, Portugal, business, sex selective abortions, Wall Street Journal, abortion, Rugby World Cup, Religious Practice,
Follow MercatorNet
Sections and Blogs
Family Edge
Sheila Reports
Reading Matters
Demography Is Destiny
Conniptions (the editorial)
our ideals
our People
Mercator who?
partner sites
audited accounts
New Media Foundation
Suite 212
75 Archer Street
Chatswood NSW 2067
+61 2 9007 1187

© New Media Foundation 2014 | powered by Encyclomedia | designed by Elleston