US population in 2060
It will be larger, older and more diverse.
Improved economy not improving US fertility rates
Experts are perplexed.
China’s (pet) population rising fast
Are pets a good substitute for actual children?
White Deaths Outnumber Births in America
A new milestone in the gradual decline of white people in America occurred this week. The number of non-Hispanic white deaths outnumbered births for the first time. Significantly, several demographers have said that they are not aware of another time in American history when the dominant racial group in America has shrunk in this way, even taking into account such events as the depression and the two world wars last century.
The real reason for Putin’s US adoption ban?
Russian President Vladimir Putin upset a lot of Americans with his December 28 (feast of the Holy Innocents) ban on adoptions to the US -- at the same time ordering his government to take a range of steps to make it easier for Russians to adopt orphans.
Recession pushes United States birth rate to 25 year low
The United States had been one of the few developed countries to maintain fertility rates at close to replacement level. However, the average number of births per woman there is projected to fall to 1.87 this year and 1.86 next year according to consulting firm Demographic Intelligence. Surprisingly, it is now below that of even the British and the French (both at 2.0). The rates are a 25 year low and, sadly, seem in some part to be due to the recession and a rising cost of living and having children.
A growing socioeconomic divide between parents
A New York Times blogger raises interesting questions this week about the effect on us all of the growing socioeconomic divide between parents. That is, more and more educated, well off woman will just be becoming mothers as their less well off, less educated peers are becoming grandmothers.
A New American Dream?
The United States is arguably still the world’s greatest super power. Yet, just who makes up that superpower is changing. White people, excluding Latinos, are expected to see their influence and numbers diminish from a 70% share of the population today to a bare majority by 2050.
More Educated Women opting to have Families
For the first time a recent study has found that a greater number of highly educated women in their late 30’s and 40’s in the United States are deciding to have children, something that Newswise describes as ‘a dramatic turnaround from recent history’ in an interesting article based on a new study by Ohio University (reported here in the Journal of Population Economics). In fact, fertility increased at almost all ages since the late 1990s or 2000 across all groups of women studied.
How to compensate for lost fertility?
Past Eugenics and sterilisation programs in the United States are coming back to bite them, with North Carolina currently the first State to address compensation for victims. According to the North Carolina Justice for Sterilization Victims Foundation, at one time, 31 states in the U.S. had government-run eugenics programs. In North Carolina alone, close to 8,000 men, women, and children -- mostly poor, black, disabled and uneducated -- were forcibly sterilized from 1929 to 1974.
US Politics and Counting Heads
The political issues surrounding th US 2010 Census.
Recession and Childbearing in the US
Demographers argue that the recession will lead to lower fertility in the US.
Just where does all this government spending go?
Following on from the discussion this week on the connection between the current financial crisis and demographic change, I draw your attention to this interesting discussion of the US debt crisis by a prominent New Zealand financial analyst.
Getting old – the Reason for Our Economic Malaise? Part II
A response to the last post's article.
Getting old – the Reason for Our Economic Malaise?
Chrystia Freeland presents an argument why demography is the answer to our economic woes.
Rich not duped by Materialism
Hanging out for a fast car to keep up with Jones’? Research by Dr Thomas J. Stanley suggests that those flashy Jones’ may not really be that wealthy – at least in the United States.
New Zealand Marriages; US Births
The marriage rate in NZ has dropped, while the Demographic Institute has accurately predicted the number of births in the US in 2010.
The US Economy – Bullishness based on babies
Reasons for optimism about the US economy.
The Population Centre of the US: Plato, Texas County, Missouri
The Population Centre of the US is now in Texas County, Missouri.
The US Melting Pot Keeps on Bubbling
The 2011 US censes shows that the future population of the United States will be more Hispanic, more Asian, less African-American and less white.
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Welcome to Demography Is Destiny. We launched this to counter two media memes: that humans are a cancer which is destroying our planet and that world population is spiralling to unsustainable levels. The real story is that intelligent and inventive human will rise to the challenge of climate change and that our real problem is the coming demographic winter. The editors of Demography is Destiny are Marcus and Shannon Roberts, who live in Auckland, New Zealand. Send them your comments and suggestions.