Birth Rates


A fascinating map of an ageing world

Shannon Roberts | 15 June 2014
The proportion of the world that is over 65 will increase dramatically by 2100.

Ukraine suffering population decline

Marcus Roberts | 22 July 2013
Let's add Ukraine to the list of European countries in population decline.

German Cardinal Thinks Women Should be Mothers: Cue Hissing

Marcus Roberts | 27 May 2013
Cardinal Meisner wants the German Government to encourage women to have babies. How old skool.

Spain is Shrinking

Marcus Roberts | 02 May 2013
Spain's population has declined in 2012. Is this the start of a longterm trend?

Population will stabilise by 2050 According to Physics

Marcus Roberts | 10 April 2013
Researchers in Madrid are predicting that the planet's population will stop growing by 2050.

Something is Unbegotten in the State of Denmark

Marcus Roberts | 03 April 2013
Danish researchers are desperate for their country's birthrate to increase.

Japanese politician suggests banning abortion to increase birthrates

Shannon Roberts | 01 March 2013
It is common knowledge that Japan is in more economic trouble than most as a result of its low birth rate, and it seems that Japanese politicians are taking the situation increasingly seriously. One Japanese politician has come up with a fairly commonsensible plan to increase the country’s ailing birth rate – ban abortions.

Singapore’s rocky search for more migrants

Marcus Roberts | 22 February 2013
Singapore's government is facing dissent over its plans to bring in more migrants to make up for a low birth rate.

An Asian population spike

Shannon Roberts | 21 January 2013
In Taiwan, between January and September 2012, births were up 14.5 percent versus the same period in 2011. Vietnam saw an additional 61,375 babies born in the first five months of 2012—a spike of 13.5 percent from the previous year. Similar statistics are not yet available for China, but a dip in the birthrate in 2011—a mere rabbit year—suggests that couples may have been postponing procreation, says the University of North Carolina demographer Cai Yong (whose own dragon baby was born last February).

Decline in Child Rearing – “Late-Modern Exhaustion”

Marcus Roberts | 07 December 2012
An excellent opinion piece from Ross Douthat from NYTimes.

Why is Everyone Leaving Detroit?

Marcus Roberts | 25 September 2012
Detroit's population continues to decline, as the US economy and birth rate continues to fall.

Recession pushes United States birth rate to 25 year low

Shannon Roberts | 18 August 2012
The United States had been one of the few developed countries to maintain fertility rates at close to replacement level. However, the average number of births per woman there is projected to fall to 1.87 this year and 1.86 next year according to consulting firm Demographic Intelligence. Surprisingly, it is now below that of even the British and the French (both at 2.0). The rates are a 25 year low and, sadly, seem in some part to be due to the recession and a rising cost of living and having children.

Cuba and a familiar future

Marcus Roberts | 14 August 2012
Cuba is facing the consequences of high abortion rates, low birth rates and high net emigration.

Scotland - we have not forgotten you!

Marcus Roberts | 09 August 2012
An update on the Scottish population.

A more urban future for devastated Japan

Shannon Roberts | 03 August 2012
The March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in north-eastern Japan has had a dramatic demographic effect on the country. Firstly, the disaster knocked Japanese women from their perch as the world’s longest living.

Russia: Sick and Dying (Reboot)

Marcus Roberts | 26 July 2012
A response to responses to our last post.

Russia: Sick and Dying

Marcus Roberts | 23 July 2012
More bad news about Russia's population.

A more religious future?

Marcus Roberts | 24 May 2012
Thanks to demography, the 21st century will see a rise in religious belief throughout the world.

A New American Dream?

Shannon Buckley | 18 May 2012
The United States is arguably still the world’s greatest super power. Yet, just who makes up that superpower is changing. White people, excluding Latinos, are expected to see their influence and numbers diminish from a 70% share of the population today to a bare majority by 2050.

China set to fall behind in the economic race

Shannon Buckley | 25 April 2012
Many are predicting that China’s economy is set to take over the world. According to the IMF China will overtake America as the world’s largest economy in 2017. However, before we start looking to China as the next world superpower, the country’s dire demographic outlook needs to be taken account of. It will almost certainly hold the country back. Yet, despite this, unnatural government restrictions on childbirth persist.

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Welcome to Demography Is Destiny. We launched this to counter two media memes: that humans are a cancer which is destroying our planet and that world population is spiralling to unsustainable levels. The real story is that intelligent and inventive human will rise to the challenge of climate change and that our real problem is the coming demographic winter. The editor of Demography is Destiny is Marcus Roberts, a New Zealand lawyer. Send him your comments and suggestions. 


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