international affairs


Azerbaijan: the eye of the storm

George Friedman | 12 June 2013 |
tags: Azerbaijan, foreign policy
Why doesn't the United States take more interest in this critical country sandwiched between Turkey, Iran and Russia?


Nostalgia for NATO

George Friedman | 08 May 2013 |
tags: European identity, European Union, NATO
When the West had a common enemy in the Soviet Union, it was united. Now Europe is fragmenting once again into quarrelling rivals.


Malaysian election: keeping the status quo

Binoy Kampmark | 06 May 2013 |
tags: Malaysia
A Malay-based party retains its stranglehold on the government of Malaysia, even though it lost many supporters.


The West’s two big mistakes in the Arab world

Jennifer S. Bryson | 08 April 2013 |
tags: Arab Spring, book reviews, Islam
By treating Islam as monolithic and insisting on secularisation Western powers miss opportunities to help democracy take root.


Beyond the post-Cold War world

George Friedman | 03 April 2013 |
tags: balance of power, international relations
While the US has made many mistakes, a fragmented Europe and a weaker China mean that the US will be more powerful -- since power is relative.


The empathy gap

John Tirman | 02 April 2013 |
tags: Afghanistan, drones, Iraq
Where is the sympathy for the civilian victims of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan?


The Cyprus bailout: a disturbing precedent

George Friedman | 27 March 2013 |
tags: Cyprus bailout, European Union, Germany
European policy makers have broken a barrier that has been in place since the 1930s.


A new reality in relations between US and Israel

George Friedman | 20 March 2013 |
tags: foreign policy, Israel, Stratfor, USA
It's like a marriage that continues out of habit but whose foundation has withered. Can Obama's visit repair it?


What if North Korea really is crazy?

George Friedman | 13 March 2013 |
tags: North Korea, Stratfor
It's unlikely, but what could push North Korea over the brink?


Europe, unemployment and instability

George Friedman | 07 March 2013 |
tags: Europe, financial crisis, Stratfor, unemployment
The European crisis is no longer finance but the devastating effects of unemployment.


Working abroad, supporting the family at home

Vincenzina Santoro | 22 February 2013 |
tags: migrant workers, Philippines, remittances
Emigrants’ remittances are at the core of poverty alleviation in many developing countries.


The myth of disappearing Lebanese Christians

Michael Cook | 20 February 2013 |
tags: demography, Lebanon
A bombshell report shows that Christians are making a demographic comeback in Lebanon because of tumbling Muslim birth rates.


Hellfire, morality and strategy

George Friedman | 20 February 2013 |
tags: drones, ethics of warfare, US
The use of drones may be legal under international war, but it is leading the US into unknown territory.


Bill Gates and his mixed up global health agenda

Carolyn Moynihan | 15 February 2013 |
tags: Bill Gates, polio eradication, population control
Bill and Melinda Gates want to stop polio and also the growth of third world population. One of these campaigns could be undermining the other.


Let’s talk about just war

Nathaniel Peters | 08 February 2013 |
tags: book reviews, just war, US foreign policy
In a country where opinion oscillates between the extremes of realism and pacifism, learning the history of the just war tradition is important.


Mandate of the People

Tom Odhiambo | 01 February 2013 |
tags: book reviews, entrepreneurship, Kenya, politics, poverty
Politics can be dirty, but it will be cleaner if decent people get involved.


Ferocious, weak and crazy

George Friedman | 30 January 2013 |
tags: diplomacy, North Korea
If diplomacy is the art of winning without warring, North Korea is in a class of its own.


Bloody and brutal? Yes. Botched? It depends.

Mat Hardy | 23 January 2013 |
tags: Algeria, Islamism, terrorism
After decades of fighting terrorists at home, the Algerian army has different priorities.


2013: A year of decision for Europe

George Friedman | 04 January 2013 |
tags: European Union, political unrest, unemployment
The definition of the European problem must move beyond the financial crisis to the social consequences of that crisis.


Morsi tips the strategic balance in the Middle East

George Friedman | 05 December 2012 |
tags: foreign policy, Middle East, Stratfor
The new Egyptian president has moved to consolidate the power of the Muslim Brotherhood, with unpredictable consequences.


Leveson is all about politics

Ivor Gaber | 04 December 2012 |
tags: British press, David Cameron, Leveson Inquiry
Forget the arguments about the finer points of media regulation. This is all about old-fashioned hard-ball politics.


Population imperialists show their hand in Manila

Francisco S. Tatad | 03 December 2012 |
tags: Philippines, population control, Reproductive Health Bill
International heavyweights and Philippine business interests unite in a desperate bid to get a highly controversial bill passed.


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