Could geoengineering save the planet?

And who is thinking about the ethics of a technological quick fix?
Michael Cook | May 25 2012 | comment  



geoengineering

Diagram by Kathleen Smith/Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Croatian scientist Fritz Jahr coined the word “bioethics” back in 1927 to describe the ethics of dealing with living beings. This was also the interpretation by one of the “inventors” of bioethics in the English-speaking world, Van Rensselaer Potter, an American, in the 1970s. But this did not prosper. Nearly all bioethicists have limited themselves to solving human medical dilemmas.

But has the time come to revive the broader global interpretation?

The issue is climate change. In the words of Australian environmentalist Tim Flannery: "The current burden of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is in fact more than sufficient to cause catastrophic climate change. Everything's going in the wrong direction at the moment, timelines are getting shorter, the amount of pollution in the atmosphere is growing. It's extremely urgent."

Everyone agrees that the obvious solution is a radical reduction in global carbon emissions. But what if that doesn’t happen? It could be the moment for geoengineering, or, to use a more politically correct term, climate remediation.

This is not science fiction; out of sight of the mainstream media, the debate is bubbling away. Last September, the European Parliament passed a resolution expressing its opposition and UK scientists had to defer a small-scale experiment because of opposition from environmental groups. Only a few days later, a major report by US experts cautiously backed research into it.

Broadly speaking, there are two avenues of geoengineering. The first is removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. This is low risk technique, but global temperatures would decline very slowly. The second is solar radiation management -- reflecting a small percentage of the sun's light and heat back into space. This offers a quick fix for a climate crisis, but could cause other problems. The solution which is most often suggested is seeding the stratosphere with sulfur dioxide – a man-made Pinatubo.

As Flannery has said, “Geoengineering is an option many would rather ignore. But the climate crisis is now so advanced that we would be well served by carefully evaluating options”.

Some sort of ethical analysis is needed to guide the visions of dreamy technocrats. Not long ago, 200 scientists from 14 countries met in California at the renowned Asilomar retreat center to discuss some ground rules. The ethicists at the meeting suggested that the famous Belmont principles of bioethics should be used as a framework for discussing the risks and benefits. But given the magnitude of the problem, these seem inadequate.

Take autonomy, and its corollary, informed consent. Would it be possible to get countries to consent to experiments which might devastate their economies? Probably not.

Then beneficence, which states that doctors should balance the risks of a clinical trial against the benefit to participants. But calculating the risks of planet-hacking is almost impossible.

How about justice? Would it be possible for scientists to ensure that the experiments would be administered fairly? Since only a handful of countries could afford the technology, poor countries could become guinea pigs for the rich.

In short, from this angle, geoengineering is the global equivalent of gastric banding: a desperate, last-resort solution to carbon emissions which involves unacceptable risks.

A utilitarian analysis is less restrictive. The well-known Australian bioethicist Julian Savulescu, now at Oxford, contributed to formulating the “Oxford Principles” for geoengineering research late last year. So long as measures are properly regulated and transparent, he believes that there is nothing wrong with geoengineering – at least, in principle.

Savulescu & Co point out that the risks involved are not unique. Genetically modified organisms, high-energy particle physics, and nanotechnology present similar risks. “It is therefore important to resist an exceptionalist ethical attitude toward geoengineering technology,” they write.

Curiously, none of the bioethicists are discussing what most of us might regard as the central question: who is the patient? Is it humanity or is it the natural environment?

The irony of this debate is that scientists like Flannery who have spent their whole lives lamenting the destructive impact of technology upon the environment are supporting high-risk technology to save the environment. The need for clarity in setting ethical guidelines is urgent.

Michael Cook is editor of MercatorNet.  



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